油氣資源預測的灰色系統(tǒng)理論模型研究.pdf

1、中國石油大學（華東）碩士學位論文油氣資源預測的灰色系統(tǒng)理論模型研究姓名：肖楠申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：礦產(chǎn)普查與勘探指導教師：趙永軍201206StudyOiltheGreySystemTheoryinthePredictionofHydrocarbonResourcesXiaoNan(InvestigationandExplorationofMineralResources)DirectedbyProfessorZhaoYongiunA

2、bstractThesizeanddistributionofthehydrocarbonresourcesisnotonlyanimportantcontentofthepredictionandevaluationinoilandgasresourcesbutalsothemainbasisoftheeconomicbudgetbeforethedevelopmentofoilandgasfieldTheassessmentofhy

3、drocarbonresourcesdirectlyinfluencesthedirectionandexplorationprocessofoilandgasexplorationThegreysystemtheoryisabranchofuncertaintytheorysystem，whichiswidelyusedinthestudyofindustrialandagriculturalfieldsThispaperwillfu

4、rtherstudythequantitativepredictionofoilandgasresourcesbasedonthestudyofthemodelofgreysystemtheoryThispaperfirstlyintroducestheresearchbackgroundandthestatusquoofoilandgasresourcespredictionaftersummarizingtheresearchmet

5、hodsanddiscussesthegreysystemtheory，expoundsthebasictheoryofgreysystem，includingthegreyrelationalanalysisandclassicGM(1，1)modelandSOonWiththemainresearchingofthegreyforecastingmodel，thedefectsofthetheoryaresummedupandthe

6、improvementoptimizationmodelisestablished，includingthestructureofthebackgroundvalueandinitialconditionsoptimization，suchaSthebufferoperatoroptimizationmodel，theoptimizationGM(1，1)model，andtheintervaloptimizationGM(1，1)mo

7、del，whichareappropriateforvariouspredictionresearching，thescopeisimprovedwiththeapplicationexamplesofthemodeltestInthispaperbasedonthestudyofthetheorymodel，thefunctionofthegreyrelmionanalysisandgreypredictionmodelisreali

8、zedwithVCsoftwareIntheapplicationresearchofsouthofqinshuibasin，aftersummarizingthegeologicalconditionsofthestudyareaincludingstratigraphiccharacteristics，structurecharacteristics，distributioncharacteristics，reservoirchar