北京市商品住宅市場調(diào)控機理與動態(tài)模擬.pdf

1、中國農(nóng)業(yè)大學碩士學位論文北京市商品住宅市場調(diào)控機理與動態(tài)模擬姓名：邢俏俏申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：管理科學與工程指導教師：王衛(wèi)華20070601AbstractTherealestateindustryofourcountrydevelopsveryquicklyithasbeenadomainindustryofourec∞omyanditsurelyinfluencesthegrowthofdomesticeconomyAlthoug

2、hthegrowthofChineserealestateisslowerthanthedevelopedcountries’，itstillbuildsupthethirdclassmarketstructureandthesystemswhichconsistoftransactionservicesupport，controlandadministrationandestatemanageserviceThegovernmenth

3、asgonethroughthreephasesinthepolicyofmarketcontrol，buttheresultisunexpectedAccordingtotheinformationofdomesticrealestatemarket，thepriceindexincreasescontinuouslyitreachedl097in2004Theinveatmentofrealestatealsorisesin2006

4、，thetotalwasl46106billionRMBinthefLrsttenmonthsrepresentingallincreaseof241％comparewiththatin2005ThepriceofresidentialcommoditiesinBeijingisboomingbecauseoftheOlympicGames，reachedto82796RMBYuanpersquaremeterthemainreasou

5、sforthisare：theincreaseoftheexploitationandinvestment，theimbalanceofsupplyanddemandsThesupplyanddemandofrealestatemarketdeterminetheprice，andthefactorswhichinfluencethesupplyanddemandarevariousandcomplicateThispaperwilli

6、ncludetheanalysisofFinancialMarketDomesticEconomySocietyResourceandPopulationBesidesmat“willcontainthecausalityofrealestatemarketandusethemethodofSystemDyllamicssimulationThereportwillforecastthetrendsofBeijing’Sresident

7、ialcommoditiesmarketaccordingtopopulation，GDPpercapitaland—value，andinvestmentItissignificanttousethemodelofSystemDynamicst0forecastdomesticrealestatemarketandpolicysimulate，itwillbeaguideofdomesticrealestatemarketcontro